Aflac (AFL) Risk Assessment


AFL Aflac Inc AFL
74 GF Score
Price $120.08
GF Value $109.41
Valuation Fairly Valued
! 5 Warning Signs
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What is Aflac Risk Assessment?

Risk Assessment represents the investment risk of a stock derived from our exclusive method. It suggests how risky the investment opportunity is based on the valuation and the fundamental performance of the stock. It is derived from following key aspects:

1. GuruFocus internally developed valuations of the stock, such as GF valuation.
2. Quality Rank, a business quality indicator developed by GuruFocus.
3. Fundamental performance: Piotroski F-Score, Altman Z-Score, Beneish M-Score, etc.
4. Growth opportunities: 5-year revenue growth rate, 5-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate, etc.

Value investors are always willing to find undervalued stocks. However, not all the undervalued stocks are good deals, we should also be careful of how risky the investment opportunity is. We believe that if the company's financial strength and profitability are strong, and the stock price is within a reasonable range of the GF valuation, or stock has a high return with its price being undervalued, then it might be a good investment opportunity with low risk.

Based on those aspects listed above, GuruFocus believes the risk assessment of Aflac is: Moderate Risk: Sensitive, better choose undervalued stock.

Aflac  (NYSE:AFL) Risk Assessment Explanation

Based on the four aspects listed above, GuruFocus provides the following 7 evaluations:

All-in-One Screener Examples (1)
Low Risk: Strong fundamentals, worth long-term holding
Moderate Risk: Sensitive, better choose undervalued stock
High Risk: High uncertainty with risk-return tradeoff
High Risk: Good fundamentals, beware of shrinking business
High Risk: Sensitive to economic or industry trends
High Risk: High uncertainty
No Data: Cannot be evaluated

(1) These are some simple examples. You can access our Risk Assessment filter under All-in-One Screener’s Fundamental tab and set your own criteria.

Aflac Risk Assessment Related Terms

AFL vs MET, PRU, UNM: Risk Assessment Comparison

For the Insurance - Life subindustry, Aflac's Risk Assessment, along with its competitors' market caps and Risk Assessment data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

Aflac Risk Assessment vs Insurance Industry

For the Insurance industry and Financial Services sector, Aflac's Risk Assessment distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Aflac's Risk Assessment falls into.


AFL
74GF Score
Aflac Inc AFL
Risk Assessment is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Is Aflac (AFL) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Aflac stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of $120.08 is trading 9.8% above its estimated GF Value™ of $109.41. GuruFocus considers Aflac to be Fairly Valued.

Key valuation signals for AFL:

  • Risk Assessment:
  • GF Value™: $109.41 vs. price of $120.08 (9.8% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 74/100 with 5 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the AFL stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.

Aflac Business Description

Address 1932 Wynnton Road, Columbus, GA, USA, 31999
Aflac Inc offers supplemental health insurance and life insurance in the United States and Japan. In addition to its cancer policies, the company has broadened its product offerings to include accident, dental and vision, disability, and long-term-care insurance. It markets its products through independent distributors, selling the majority of its policies directly to consumers at their places of work, and also reaches out to its customers outside of their worksite through digital mediums. The company has two reportable business segments: Aflac Japan, which generates the maximum revenue, and Aflac U.S.
74GF Score

Get the complete analysis for AFL

Risk Assessment is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$120.08
Price
$109.41
GF Value